Categories
budgets & spending cuts deficits and debt tax policy

The Beast Cometh

As the U.S. Debt Clock ticks towards $39 trillion, a predictable but horrible beast slouches towards us, ready to knock on the door. Or, rather, burst through.

The federal debt hit $38.8 trillion this weekend: it’s $38,830,051,666,666 as I type these words on Sunday.

But that’s not the beast. 

This year’s annual deficit is $1.9 trillion.

But that’s still not the beast.

The Congressional Budget Office warns that the debt-to-GDP hits 120% by 2036 — above post-WWII peak.

That isn’t the beast either.

The beast is the interest on the debt, and the service charge the government must regularly make merely to keep the borrowing going.

Net interest payments will be over one trillion smackeroos this fiscal year. That rivals or exceeds spending on defense/veterans in many breakdowns — those payments are projected to double to over two trillion per year by 2036. 

It’s the fastest-growing line item. 

It’s non-discretionary. 

And it compounds; the beast only gets bigger.

And with it any hope for tax relief goes out the window. Just last week the president, reacting to the Supreme Court decision in Learning Resources v. Trump, floated what amounts to a revenue-directed tariff, and under normal circumstances voters could not unreasonably demand, say, an offsetting 15 percent reduction in income taxes, across the board.

Nothing like that is in the offing. Not because tax cuts wouldn’t be a big win for the tariffer-in-chief, but because any extra revenue might be more cost-effectively thrown as debt service at the American holders of $31 trillion in federal debt.

This is as bipartisan an issue — and failure — as anything can be, yet the bipartisan response?

Crickets.

This is Common Sense. I’m Paul Jacob.


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Categories
Thought

W.B. Yeats

Words are always getting conventionalized to some secondary meaning. It is one of the works of poetry to take the truants in custody and bring them back to their right senses.

William Butler Yeats, letter to Ellen O’Leary (February 3, 1889).

Categories
Today

The Thing You Know

As the Democratic machine was consolidating its support around Joe Biden on March 2, 2020, in his (ultimately successful) bid for the presidency, the man himself was showing his level of eloquence with a speech in which he demonstrated some trouble regurgitating the most memorable words from the Declaration of Independence:

It’s time for America to get back up on its feet and once again fight for the proposition that “We hold these truths to be self-evident”! Sounds corny; not a joke: think about it. We hold these truths to be self[la]-evident. All men and women created, by the, go, you know, you know the thing! You know how we talk about it.

Joe Biden, in Houston, Texas, March 2, 2020.
Categories
Update

Gender Theory Criticism & Free Speech

The woke war on freedom of speech continues in Canada. 

In mid-February 2026, the B.C. Human Rights Tribunal ruled that Barry Neufeld’s repeated public criticisms of the province’s SOGI 123 program (Sexual Orientation and Gender Identity resources used in schools) constituted hate speech and discrimination against 2SLGBTQ+ individuals, particularly transgender people. Mr. Neufeld, a former school board trustee in Chilliwack, British Columbia, was ordered to pay $750,000 in damages to affected teachers in the Chilliwack Teachers’ Association who identify as LGBTQ+ (covering the period from October 2017 to 2022), citing harm to their dignity, feelings, and self-respect.

Neufeld’s comments began around 2017 when British Columbia updated school codes to address bullying based on sexual orientation and gender identity. In various Facebook posts, interviews, and public statements over several years, he described SOGI as a “weapon of propaganda” promoting the “absurd theory” that gender is a social construct rather than biologically determined. He also claimed that allowing children to change gender amounted to “child abuse,” warned that teaching about gender diversity “undermines social order and primes them for abuse,” and invoked stereotypes portraying transgender people as predatory or mentally ill.

Neufeld plans to challenge the ruling, arguing it violates his freedom of expression.

The woke war on speech wokels is not confined to Mr. Neufeld, alas:

Amy Hamm, a nurse in British Columbia, faced a lengthy disciplinary hearing before the B.C. College of Nurses and Midwives after complaints about her off-duty online statements between 2018 and 2021. She argued that biological sex is immutable, criticized gender ideology as harmful to women and children (e.g., allowing men into women’s spaces like prisons or sports), and identified herself as a nurse in some posts. A panel found six statements discriminatory and derogatory toward transgender people, ruling they constituted professional misconduct with a sufficient nexus to her profession due to potential harm to patient trust. In March 2025, she was deemed guilty; in August 2025, she was suspended for one month and ordered to pay $93,639.80 in costs to the college. Hamm appealed the decision to the B.C. Supreme Court, arguing it infringed on her freedom of expression, with the penalty stayed pending resolution.

Sandie Peggie, a nurse at NHS Fife, in Scotland, was suspended in 2024 after complaining about sharing a female changing room with Dr. Beth Upton, a transgender doctor (biologically male) who had permission to use it. Peggie expressed discomfort based on her belief that sex is biological and immutable, citing privacy and dignity concerns. She faced an 18-month internal gross misconduct investigation, during which she was barred from work. Cleared of misconduct in July 2025, she sued NHS Fife and Upton for discrimination, harassment, and victimization under the Equality Act 2010. In a December 2025 employment tribunal ruling, her harassment claim against NHS Fife was partially upheld on four grounds (e.g., the board’s failure to revoke Upton’s access temporarily during investigation), criticizing the board’s handling as creating a “hostile” environment. However, claims of direct/indirect discrimination and victimization were dismissed, as were all claims against Upton personally. A remedy hearing is pending, and Peggie plans to appeal the dismissals.

Päivi Räsänen, a Finnish MP and former interior minister, faced multiple hate speech charges for expressing Christian-based views skeptical of gender theory and same-sex relationships. Key statements included a 2019 tweet questioning her church’s support for Pride events (citing Bible verses on gender as binary and divinely created), a 2004 pamphlet arguing homosexuality contradicts “God’s design” for male-female complementarity, and a 2019 radio interview criticizing gender ideology. Prosecutors argued these incited hatred against LGBTQ+ people under Finland’s criminal code. After acquittals in district court (2022) and appeals court (2023), the Supreme Court acquitted her unanimously in 2024, ruling her statements were protected speech not amounting to hate. However, she endured years of investigations, trials, and appeals, describing it as a “chilling” ordeal that tested free expression limits in Europe.

Paul Jacob has written about the Finnish case a couple of times.

Categories
thoughtNew

Joseph Robinette Biden, Jr.

[M]aking sure that we’re able to make every single solitary person eligible for what I’ve been able to do with the — with, with, with the COVID. Excuse me, with dealing with everything we have to do with . . . look, if . . . We finally beat Medicare!

President Joe Biden in a spectacularly surreal flub from the CNN-hosted Presidential debate with then-former President Donald John Trump, June 27, 2024.

Categories
Today

A Leap Day Milestone

On Leap Year Day 1796, the Jay Treaty between the United States and Great Britain came into force, facilitating ten years of peaceful trade between the two countries.

Categories
Update

Epstein File Consequences

The disclosure of the Epstein Files has led to nothing much along the lines of legal consequences in America, while in Europe there have been several arrests, resignations, and investigations tied directly to revelations of ties to Jeffrey Epstein or Ghislaine Maxwell. The list at present:

  • Andrew Mountbatten-Windsor (United Kingdom; former royal and Duke of York): Arrested February 19, 2026, on suspicion of misconduct in public office related to sharing sensitive trade information with Epstein while serving as a U.K. trade envoy; in 2025, stripped of royal titles in response to ongoing Epstein scrutiny.
  • Peter Mandelson (United Kingdom; former government minister, European Commissioner, and U.K. Ambassador to the U.S.): Arrested February 23, 2026, on suspicion of misconduct in public office; released on bail pending further investigation; previously dismissed from his ambassadorship in September 2025, resigned from the House of Lords and Labour Party in early February 2026.
  • Thorbjørn Jagland (Norway; former Prime Minister, Nobel Committee chair, and Council of Europe Secretary General): Charged with aggravated corruption in mid-February 2026 following home searches linked to Epstein file disclosures; faces up to ten years in prison if convicted.
  • Terje Rød-Larsen (Norway; former diplomat, Minister of Administration and Planning, and International Peace Institute president): Under investigation for complicity in gross corruption tied to his Ministry of Foreign Affairs work and Epstein contacts; suspended from duties.
  • Mona Juul (Norway; former ambassador to the U.K., Jordan, Iraq, and U.N. Economic and Social Council president; wife of Terje Rød-Larsen): Resigned as ambassador to Jordan and Iraq in early February 2026; under investigation for aggravated corruption.
  • Jack Lang (France; former Minister of Culture and Education, president of the Arab World Institute): Resigned as head of the Arab World Institute in early February 2026; under financial investigation related to Epstein ties.
  • Sultan Ahmed bin Sulayem (United Arab Emirates; magnate and chairman/CEO of DP World logistics company): Replaced as chairman and CEO on February 13, 2026, after emails revealed a years-long friendship with Epstein.
  • Miroslav Lajčák (Slovakia; former U.N. General Assembly president and national security adviser): Resigned as national security adviser to Prime Minister Robert Fico on January 31, 2026, after photos and emails showed post-conviction meetings with Epstein.
  • Joanna Rubinstein (Sweden; chair of Sweden for UNHCR): Resigned in early February 2026 after documents revealed a 2012 visit to Epstein’s private island post-conviction.
  • Børge Brende (Norway; former foreign minister and World Economic Forum president): Stepped down as WEF president in early February 2026 following an independent investigation into his Epstein contacts.
  • Mohamed Waheed Hassan (Maldives; special envoy to the president): Resigned positions in early February 2026 amid scrutiny over Epstein communications.
  • Sarah Ferguson (United Kingdom; former Duchess of York): Forced to shutter her charity, Sarah’s Trust, in early February 2026 due to reputational damage from Epstein associations; effectively resigned from her public role in the organization.
  • Morgan McSweeney (United Kingdom; chief of staff to Prime Minister Keir Starmer): Resigned in early February 2026 amid fallout from Mandelson’s scandal and broader government scrutiny.
  • Tim Allan (United Kingdom; communications director for Prime Minister Keir Starmer): Resigned in early February 2026 as part of the U.K. government’s Epstein-related shakeup.

Take some caution, however: being named in the files does not inherently prove wrongdoing, and of course many individuals have denied illicit involvement. This list focuses on non-U.S. figures who have faced negative reactions to the information, actions like arrests, firings, forced resignations, or criminal charges. Some of these reactions are likely over-reactions. Whatever evil that Jeffrey Epstein was up to, he also was involved in networking with nearly everybody. How many of his “friends” he enticed into sexual activity with girls, or worse, and how many had no clue or just hints, we do not know.

Categories
Thought

Jeffrey Epstein

i think pedophilee is the plural

Jeffrey Epstein, sans capitalization and quotation marks and period, responding to a March 20, 2012, email by one “izmo” [email address redacted] who had previously inquired where Epstein was (Epstein answered “Paris with woody allen”) and then quipped “les pedophile convention”? From the Epstein File disclosure, see Clara Molot, “The 10 Things That Haunt Me From the Latest Batch of Epstein Files,” Vanity Fair (February 3, 2026). By the way, we know who “izmo” is: Mark Epstein, Jeffrey’s younger brother.

Categories
Today

Common Sleeper Struck Back

On February 28, 1646, Roger Scott, of Lynn, Massachusetts, was tried for sleeping in church. Awakened in church by a tithingman’s long, knobbed staff hitting him on the head, he struck back at the man, and garnered a whipping as punishment, as well as the dark designation as “a common sleeper at the publick exercise.”

Categories
defense & war privacy too much government

AI Within Limits

I’ve never consulted “Claude.” It’s an artificial intelligence (AI), and these things give me the creeps. But I must soldier on.

Anthropic, the maker of Claude, is in a special position: it’s currently the only frontier AI model cleared for use on classified U.S. military systems. But Anthropic limits use of Claude by the government: no mass domestic surveillance of U.S. citizens (such as tracking protesters or political opponents) and no development of fully autonomous weapons (where AI makes lethal decisions without human oversight).

Two cheers for Claude?

Regardless of your Huzzah level, being in a special position puts Anthropic in the crosshairs: The Pentagon demands unrestricted “all lawful use” access, rejecting any such safeguards or limits. 

According to Elizabeth Nolan Brown, writing in Reason, the “U.S. Department of Defense is in a standoff with artificial intelligence developer Anthropic over the company’s refusal” to play along with the federal government’s willingness to press beyond the limits of the Constitution. 

“This refusal hasn’t gone over well with the Trump administration,” explains Ms. Brown, going on to write that Secretary of War Pete“Hegseth has reportedly demanded that Anthropic remove its restrictions on certain military uses or else face consequences.”

In recent years we’ve witnessed too many companies complying with out-of-control government. And while it has become common to “lash out at big corporations, we should focus our anger on the actual root of these problems: the government,” the Reason article concludes. 

As it turned out in the social media de-platforming scandal, “the real enemy of civil liberties here is the government actors who are doing the bad deeds, demanding that tech companies go along with them. . . .” 

As our previous president used to say, “Don’t.”

This is Common Sense. I’m Paul Jacob.


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