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Spelling Stagnation

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The just-​re-​elected president had promised to slash the deficit in his first term. That didn’t happen, but there’s talk of back room deals being made right now, saith Politico:

Taxes will go up just shy of $1.2 trillion.… Entitlement programs, mainly Medicare, will be cut by no less than $400 billion — and perhaps a lot more, to get Republicans to swallow those tax hikes. There will be at least $1.2 trillion in spending cuts and “war savings.” And any final deal will come not by a group effort but in a private deal between two men: Obama and House Speaker John Boehner.…

However, the cuts all come in the far, Star Trekkie future. Nick Gillespie of Reason not unreasonably asks if Boehner is really “Dumb enough to take $400 billion in cuts a decade from now in exchange for $1.2 trillion in tax hikes that start ASAP?” Gillespie defines “dumb” in the context of history:

[T]here’s a clear pattern: Republican presidents ratchet up spending and Democratic presidents consolidate the increases. This reality is at almost complete odds with political rhetoric.… Perhaps the near-​total disconnect between rhetoric and reality is the reason why we can’t get anywhere — taxpayers are constantly being misdirected by the powers that be.

Still, Republicans have stood for lower tax rates. Are Republicans alone in “standing by principle”? No.

There’s another: the 77-​member Progressive Caucus “will not support any deal that cuts benefits for families and seniors who rely on Medicare, Medicaid and Social Security to put food on the table or cover their health costs.”

So, realistically, there is no insider constituency for reducing spending. If enough congressional Republicans vote to increase taxes, they’ll be bilked. Meanwhile, debt overhang strangles the economy, and increased taxes will also cut into the investments that make jobs.

Thus stalemate spells stagnation.

This is Common Sense. I’m Paul Jacob.

4 replies on “Spelling Stagnation”

If ANY congressional RINOs vote to increase taxes, they’ll be Borked .… 

Any that reckon our Tea-​Party-​Movement is anything but quietly in waiting had better also arrange his post-​congressional career. If the “Democrats” don’t whack him first, he’s in for a Primary Shock and Awe!

The Treasury Department doesn’t include obligations for Medicare, Social Security, Medicaid, and federal and state pensions when they are calculating the federal debt. Which is good, because THAT number is already at $86.8 trillion and expected to rise to $220 trillion. In order to cover that would require the IRS collecting $8 trillion a year, instead of the $2.1 trillion they currently collect. If they took ALL the income of everyone making more than #66K a year and ALL the income of all the companies in the US, that would be $6.7 trillion a year available to be taxed. Even taxing 100% of that, ie taking ALL of the income, won’t cover the liabilities.

Means that there is no way to tax ourselves out of this.

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